Today's FOMC minutes, and subsequent conference, was enlightening. The Fed has signalled that there will be no additional hikes in 2019, which the market had already priced in. Additionally, the Fed's quantitative tightening (balance sheet reduction) will be tapered and expected to end by the end of September.
The bid-to-risk was short lived as the SPY and DIA closed negative, and QQQ was well of session highs. There was a frantic bid to treasuries, which The Macro Strategist have been advocating for months. Cyclicals have lagged the 2019 rally, and they received no solace from Powell & Co.
The problem with the Fed's complete withdrawal from monetary tightening comes at a time when, much like ECB's Draghi, was forced to admit the best of growth and inflation are beyond us.
Financials were slammed post-FOMC, and they will test minor-rally support of $25.86. The near-term TACVOL range sits 26.99/25.88 while the intermediate range 28.19/23.07 which would target to the downside.
Notice, XLF is tracking the eurodollar 2019 lower ready to price a lax Fed.
XLF (candlestick); EDZ2019 (red)